Tomás Greig vs Deportes Limache analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
11.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tomás Greig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
GAS
1 - 3
TOM
37%
24%
39%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
VAL
1 - 3
TOM
47%
24%
29%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
TOM
5 - 0
CHI
60%
20%
19%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
TOM
3 - 2
CAU
48%
24%
29%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
TOM
9 - 3
MAR
61%
20%
19%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Limache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
LIM
0 - 0
EST
37%
25%
39%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
LIM
2 - 1
CAS
67%
19%
15%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
JOA
3 - 0
LIM
60%
21%
19%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
LIM
1 - 1
GVE
42%
24%
34%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
LAU
2 - 1
LIM
61%
21%
18%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |