Tomás Greig vs Chimbarongo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.9%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
15%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
10%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tomás Greig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
LIM
1 - 1
TOM
24%
22%
54%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
TOM
4 - 0
MEJ
63%
19%
18%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
REN
2 - 3
TOM
49%
22%
29%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
TOM
2 - 1
GAS
74%
16%
10%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
OVA
0 - 1
TOM
38%
24%
38%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Chimbarongo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
BDS
3 - 1
CHI
65%
19%
16%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
CHI
0 - 1
LAU
22%
24%
55%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
DLI
2 - 1
CHI
46%
23%
31%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
CHI
0 - 2
EST
32%
26%
43%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
ACC
6 - 1
CHI
58%
22%
21%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -2 |