Tomás Greig vs Chimbarongo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.3%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
19.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tomás Greig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
TOM
3 - 2
CAU
48%
24%
29%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
TOM
9 - 3
MAR
61%
20%
19%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
TOM
2 - 3
GVE
56%
22%
22%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
EST
7 - 2
TOM
38%
25%
37%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -2 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
TOM
4 - 1
CAS
70%
18%
12%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Chimbarongo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
CHI
2 - 2
EST
46%
25%
30%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 3
CHI
29%
24%
47%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
CHI
1 - 1
JOA
44%
25%
31%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
GVE
1 - 1
CHI
49%
24%
27%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2015 |
CHI
2 - 1
TAL
46%
25%
30%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |