Toluca vs Veracruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.2%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
11.1%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
ATL
0 - 3
TOL
33%
27%
40%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 0
TOL
55%
23%
22%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
TOL
3 - 2
ATL
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
TOL
3 - 0
PAC
54%
23%
23%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2014 |
UDG
0 - 0
TOL
17%
27%
55%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Veracruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
LOB
1 - 1
VER
42%
26%
33%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
VER
0 - 0
CHI
44%
28%
28%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2014 |
VER
0 - 0
LOB
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
QRO
0 - 0
VER
56%
25%
19%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
VER
2 - 1
MON
21%
26%
53%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | +1 |