Toluca vs Veracruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.9%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
11.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
COM
1 - 2
TOL
22%
25%
53%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
JAG
0 - 4
TOL
44%
26%
30%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
TOL
2 - 2
SAN
37%
25%
38%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2013 |
TOL
3 - 1
CAL
73%
18%
10%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
MON
1 - 1
TOL
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Veracruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2013 |
VER
4 - 1
LOB
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
VER
0 - 0
QRO
38%
27%
35%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
PUE
0 - 0
VER
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2013 |
ALE
1 - 0
VER
48%
24%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
VER
3 - 2
CAZ
21%
26%
53%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | +1 |