Toluca vs Tijuana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
22%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
LEO
1 - 1
TOL
49%
25%
26%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
TOL
0 - 0
ATS
67%
20%
13%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
PUE
0 - 1
TOL
37%
28%
35%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2015 |
CHI
1 - 0
TOL
31%
28%
40%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
TOL
1 - 0
QRO
61%
22%
17%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Tijuana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
TIJ
1 - 1
CHI
59%
24%
17%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
QRO
2 - 1
TIJ
38%
27%
35%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
TIJ
3 - 4
MON
51%
25%
24%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CAZ
2 - 1
TIJ
47%
26%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
TIJ
3 - 1
VER
60%
24%
17%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | +1 |