Toluca vs Tijuana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
23.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
TIG
1 - 2
TOL
50%
25%
25%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
TOL
7 - 1
ATL
65%
21%
14%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
TOL
4 - 0
QRO
57%
24%
19%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2013 |
CAL
1 - 5
TOL
20%
23%
57%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
PUE
1 - 1
TOL
35%
27%
38%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Tijuana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
TIJ
1 - 0
QRO
53%
26%
21%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2013 |
AME
2 - 0
TIJ
58%
22%
20%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
PUE
2 - 0
TIJ
32%
28%
40%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2013 |
TIJ
6 - 0
VIC
71%
19%
10%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
TIJ
0 - 0
CAZ
36%
27%
37%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |