Liga MX Finals - Clausura Quarter-finals
Global 3-1
Toluca vs Tijuana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
19.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2014 |
TIJ
0 - 0
TOL
39%
27%
34%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
TOL
1 - 1
AME
49%
24%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2014 |
TOL
1 - 1
CAZ
50%
24%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
ATS
1 - 0
TOL
32%
28%
41%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
CAZ
0 - 0
TOL
46%
26%
28%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Tijuana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2014 |
TIJ
0 - 0
TOL
39%
27%
34%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
TIJ
1 - 2
LEO
41%
27%
32%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 2
TIJ
32%
27%
41%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
TIG
1 - 1
TIJ
56%
23%
21%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2014 |
CAZ
2 - 0
TIJ
51%
25%
24%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |