Liga MX Finals - Apertura Final
Global 1-4
Toluca vs Tijuana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
21%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2012 |
TIJ
2 - 1
TOL
39%
27%
34%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
TOL
1 - 2
AME
51%
24%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2012 |
AME
0 - 2
TOL
56%
23%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
TOL
3 - 1
CHI
61%
23%
17%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 2
TOL
39%
28%
33%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Tijuana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2012 |
TIJ
2 - 1
TOL
39%
27%
34%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2012 |
TIJ
3 - 0
LEO
38%
27%
35%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2012 |
LEO
2 - 0
TIJ
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2012 |
TIJ
1 - 1
MON
35%
27%
38%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2012 |
MON
0 - 1
TIJ
62%
21%
17%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |