Toluca vs Tijuana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
26.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
QRO
1 - 0
TOL
31%
29%
40%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
BSC
0 - 0
TOL
46%
26%
28%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
TOL
0 - 1
ATS
60%
23%
17%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2013 |
TOL
1 - 1
BSC
58%
24%
19%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2013 |
ATL
0 - 1
TOL
39%
27%
35%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Tijuana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
TIJ
2 - 2
MON
37%
27%
36%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
COR
3 - 0
TIJ
59%
23%
17%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
TIJ
0 - 1
QRO
59%
24%
17%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2013 |
TIJ
1 - 0
COR
34%
29%
36%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
ATS
1 - 0
TIJ
32%
29%
39%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | -1 |