Toluca vs Tigres UANL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
29.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
JUA
1 - 3
TOL
32%
27%
42%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2021 |
TOL
5 - 3
ATL
71%
17%
12%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2021 |
TOL
0 - 1
JUA
65%
19%
16%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
CAZ
3 - 1
TOL
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2021 |
TOL
2 - 1
CAZ
41%
25%
34%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Tigres UANL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2021 |
TIJ
1 - 2
TIG
31%
29%
41%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2021 |
AUS
1 - 3
TIG
39%
27%
34%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
AME
1 - 0
TIG
50%
26%
24%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2021 |
TIG
0 - 0
CHI
58%
23%
20%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
ATS
1 - 0
TIG
30%
29%
42%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |