Toluca vs Tigres UANL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
28.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
PAC
1 - 0
TOL
45%
26%
29%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
TOL
0 - 1
PUM
59%
23%
17%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
LEO
1 - 2
TOL
50%
24%
26%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
TOL
1 - 1
PUE
60%
22%
18%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 1
TOL
35%
28%
38%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Tigres UANL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
TIG
2 - 2
TIJ
53%
25%
23%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
QRO
0 - 2
TIG
26%
29%
45%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
TIG
1 - 0
ATS
64%
22%
14%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2013 |
ATL
1 - 3
TIG
35%
27%
38%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
TIG
3 - 0
JAG
58%
24%
18%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |