Toluca vs Tigres UANL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
17.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
ATS
0 - 0
TOL
41%
27%
31%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
TOL
1 - 0
JAG
53%
25%
22%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
PAC
3 - 1
TOL
45%
27%
28%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
TOL
2 - 1
MOR
54%
25%
21%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
TOL
3 - 1
CAZ
49%
26%
25%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Tigres UANL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
TIG
1 - 1
SAN
31%
26%
42%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
NEC
1 - 0
TIG
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
TIG
0 - 0
MON
39%
27%
34%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
EST
0 - 0
TIG
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
TIG
1 - 0
CHI
39%
28%
33%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |