Toluca vs Tigres UANL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
17.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
SAN
2 - 2
TOL
53%
25%
22%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
TOL
2 - 1
ATS
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
TOL
1 - 1
PUM
53%
26%
22%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2007 |
PUM
2 - 0
TOL
47%
27%
26%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
TOL
2 - 0
MOR
53%
24%
22%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Tigres UANL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
TIG
1 - 0
CAZ
38%
26%
36%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
SNL
1 - 1
TIG
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
NEC
1 - 0
TIG
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
SAN
0 - 0
TIG
61%
22%
18%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2007 |
TIG
3 - 2
ATS
45%
25%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |