Toluca vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
23.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
TOL
0 - 2
CAZ
56%
23%
20%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
SAO
4 - 0
TOL
42%
26%
32%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
AME
0 - 1
TOL
49%
25%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
GRE
1 - 0
TOL
45%
25%
30%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
TOL
4 - 2
VER
59%
22%
18%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
SAO
4 - 0
TOL
42%
26%
32%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2016 |
STR
1 - 1
SAO
35%
24%
42%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
AUD
4 - 1
SAO
20%
25%
55%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
SAO
2 - 1
RIV
44%
25%
31%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 0
SAO
15%
24%
61%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |