Liga MX Finals - Clausura Final
Global 2-3
Toluca vs Santos Laguna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
24.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 1
TOL
49%
25%
27%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
TOL
4 - 1
TIJ
60%
22%
18%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2018 |
TIJ
2 - 1
TOL
38%
27%
35%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
TOL
2 - 2
MOR
59%
23%
18%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2018 |
MOR
2 - 2
TOL
40%
27%
34%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Santos Laguna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 1
TOL
49%
25%
27%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2018 |
AME
2 - 2
SAN
48%
25%
27%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2018 |
SAN
4 - 1
AME
44%
25%
31%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 0
TIG
47%
26%
27%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2018 |
TIG
2 - 0
SAN
54%
23%
23%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |