Toluca vs Santos Laguna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
36%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2012 |
TIJ
1 - 0
TOL
38%
28%
35%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2012 |
TOL
4 - 1
QRO
68%
20%
12%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
ATS
1 - 3
TOL
33%
29%
39%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2012 |
NEC
1 - 1
TOL
36%
27%
37%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
TOL
1 - 0
ATL
58%
23%
18%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Santos Laguna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 2
TIJ
68%
18%
14%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
QRO
1 - 1
SAN
19%
24%
57%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 1
ATS
72%
17%
10%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 3
SAN
28%
25%
48%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 0
JAG
71%
18%
12%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |