Toluca vs Santos Laguna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.7%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
17.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2004 |
SNL
1 - 1
TOL
23%
26%
51%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
TOL
2 - 2
ATS
63%
20%
17%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
AME
2 - 1
TOL
44%
26%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
TOL
2 - 0
MON
63%
20%
17%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
EST
1 - 2
TOL
30%
24%
46%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Santos Laguna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2004 |
RIV
1 - 2
SAN
65%
20%
15%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
SAN
2 - 3
TIG
52%
23%
26%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2004 |
SAN
0 - 1
RIV
46%
24%
31%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
QRO
2 - 0
SAN
25%
25%
50%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
SAN
6 - 0
MOR
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |