Toluca vs San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
25.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
QRO
0 - 0
TOL
37%
27%
37%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
TOL
2 - 1
LIG
64%
22%
14%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
TOL
0 - 0
SAN
49%
25%
27%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
TIJ
0 - 0
TOL
40%
26%
34%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
TOL
3 - 0
DOR
68%
19%
13%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
GOD
0 - 1
SLO
45%
26%
29%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
SLO
3 - 2
BEL
55%
24%
21%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
QUI
3 - 0
SLO
34%
28%
37%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
SLO
1 - 1
GRE
49%
27%
25%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
SLO
0 - 2
ARS
59%
24%
17%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |