Toluca vs Querétaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
15.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
MAZ
1 - 1
TOL
44%
24%
31%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
TOL
2 - 2
PUM
49%
24%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
TIG
3 - 1
TOL
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
TOL
0 - 0
CHI
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
TOL
1 - 4
PAC
38%
24%
38%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Querétaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2022 |
LEO
3 - 1
QRO
65%
21%
15%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
QRO
3 - 3
SAN
22%
25%
52%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
PUM
4 - 1
QRO
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
QRO
1 - 1
PUE
30%
27%
43%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
CAZ
2 - 1
QRO
59%
24%
18%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |