Toluca vs Querétaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
20%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 0
TOL
49%
24%
27%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
TOL
4 - 1
TIJ
59%
22%
19%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
DOR
1 - 2
TOL
24%
26%
50%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
TIJ
2 - 2
TOL
41%
26%
33%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
TOL
1 - 1
JAG
60%
22%
18%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Querétaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
QRO
2 - 1
TIJ
46%
26%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
JAG
0 - 0
QRO
42%
25%
33%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
QRO
3 - 0
LEO
37%
25%
38%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2015 |
CHI
2 - 1
QRO
32%
27%
41%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
QRO
8 - 0
HAN
87%
12%
2%
|
80 | 32 | 48 | 0 |