Toluca vs Querétaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
12.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
ATS
1 - 3
TOL
33%
29%
39%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2012 |
NEC
1 - 1
TOL
36%
27%
37%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
TOL
1 - 0
ATL
58%
23%
18%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2012 |
TOL
2 - 0
PUE
61%
21%
18%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
JAG
2 - 0
TOL
40%
27%
34%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Querétaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
QRO
0 - 1
TIJ
33%
27%
41%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
MON
3 - 2
QRO
71%
18%
10%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2012 |
QRO
1 - 0
AME
26%
24%
50%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
ATS
0 - 0
QRO
54%
26%
20%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
QRO
0 - 1
ATL
38%
27%
36%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |