Toluca vs Pumas UNAM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.9%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
14.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
TOL
3 - 2
QRO
64%
21%
15%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 0
TOL
45%
25%
30%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2017 |
TOL
4 - 0
UDG
71%
19%
11%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
TOL
2 - 1
PUE
67%
20%
13%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2017 |
MON
4 - 1
TOL
54%
23%
23%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
CHI
1 - 1
PUM
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2017 |
MON
3 - 1
PUM
68%
19%
13%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
PUM
0 - 2
TIJ
42%
26%
33%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
PUM
1 - 0
TOR
67%
19%
14%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2017 |
VER
1 - 0
PUM
36%
26%
38%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |