Toluca vs Pumas UNAM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
15.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2015 |
TOL
4 - 2
NEC
77%
16%
7%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
TIG
0 - 1
TOL
49%
26%
25%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
TOL
0 - 0
TIG
52%
25%
23%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
AME
3 - 1
TOL
47%
26%
27%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
TOL
2 - 0
TIJ
55%
24%
22%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
PUM
1 - 2
ALE
54%
23%
23%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
PUM
3 - 0
MON
36%
27%
37%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
MON
2 - 2
PUM
58%
23%
19%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
PUM
0 - 1
CAZ
38%
28%
34%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
VER
3 - 3
PUM
39%
28%
34%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |