Toluca vs Pumas UNAM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
22.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
TIJ
1 - 1
TOL
29%
29%
42%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
TOL
3 - 1
JAG
57%
24%
19%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ATL
0 - 2
TOL
45%
26%
29%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
TOL
3 - 4
PAC
44%
25%
31%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ATS
1 - 0
TOL
32%
28%
41%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
PUM
1 - 1
QRO
61%
24%
15%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
CAZ
1 - 1
PUM
58%
24%
19%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
PUM
0 - 2
PUE
50%
25%
25%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 1
PUM
58%
23%
19%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
PUM
0 - 0
CHI
54%
25%
22%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |