Toluca vs Pumas UNAM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
21.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
AME
2 - 2
TOL
44%
27%
28%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
TOL
3 - 3
ATL
54%
26%
21%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
TOL
0 - 2
CAZ
52%
26%
23%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2008 |
CAZ
0 - 2
TOL
50%
26%
23%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
TOL
2 - 1
SAN
44%
26%
30%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
PUM
1 - 0
SAN
43%
24%
32%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
NEC
1 - 2
PUM
52%
26%
22%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2008 |
PUM
1 - 3
CAZ
52%
24%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
CAZ
0 - 0
PUM
55%
24%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
MON
1 - 0
PUM
48%
25%
27%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |