Toluca vs Pumas UNAM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
21.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
PUE
1 - 2
TOL
27%
25%
48%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
TOL
2 - 2
NEC
60%
21%
19%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
CHI
0 - 0
TOL
37%
27%
37%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2004 |
TOL
1 - 1
IRA
82%
12%
6%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
TOL
3 - 2
TIG
57%
22%
21%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
PUM
2 - 1
TIG
50%
24%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
QRO
3 - 3
PUM
22%
25%
54%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
PUM
2 - 1
MOR
55%
23%
22%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2004 |
PAC
0 - 3
PUM
43%
26%
31%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
PUM
0 - 1
JAG
71%
18%
12%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |