Toluca vs Pachuca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
28.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2016 |
JAG
1 - 0
TOL
31%
26%
43%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
AME
3 - 1
TOL
51%
25%
25%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
TIJ
3 - 0
TOL
38%
26%
36%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
ATS
1 - 1
TOL
27%
27%
47%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
MON
1 - 2
TOL
45%
25%
30%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Pachuca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
PAC
1 - 0
OLI
69%
19%
13%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
PAC
1 - 0
NEC
69%
19%
13%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
JAG
0 - 2
PAC
28%
25%
46%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
PAC
5 - 1
LEO
51%
23%
26%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2016 |
TIG
1 - 0
PAC
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |