Toluca vs Pachuca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
22.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2014 |
UDG
0 - 0
TOL
17%
27%
55%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2014 |
TOL
1 - 1
MER
71%
18%
11%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
TOL
2 - 1
PUM
59%
24%
17%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2014 |
MER
2 - 1
TOL
27%
27%
46%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
JAG
2 - 1
TOL
37%
27%
36%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Pachuca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
PAC
3 - 0
CHI
54%
26%
20%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2014 |
PAC
4 - 1
RES
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
QRO
2 - 0
PAC
35%
27%
38%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
PAC
0 - 1
MON
38%
27%
36%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
CAZ
0 - 1
PAC
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |