Toluca vs Pachuca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
31.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2009 |
ATL
3 - 2
TOL
43%
27%
31%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
TOL
2 - 0
QRO
71%
19%
10%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
EST
2 - 1
TOL
49%
25%
26%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
TOL
1 - 1
DCU
62%
21%
16%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
TOL
1 - 1
TIG
60%
22%
18%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Pachuca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2009 |
PAC
1 - 3
CAZ
53%
23%
24%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
ATS
1 - 1
PAC
31%
26%
43%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
PAC
1 - 0
IND
67%
19%
14%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2009 |
PAC
2 - 0
ARA
71%
18%
12%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
MOR
2 - 0
PAC
41%
25%
34%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |