Toluca vs Pachuca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
30.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2007 |
BOL
0 - 2
TOL
37%
27%
36%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
SAN
2 - 1
TOL
43%
27%
30%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2007 |
TOL
0 - 0
ATS
50%
25%
26%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
TOL
2 - 4
ATL
54%
24%
22%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2007 |
TOL
0 - 0
JAG
56%
24%
20%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Pachuca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2007 |
TIG
2 - 0
PAC
38%
26%
36%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2007 |
PAC
3 - 0
JAG
58%
24%
18%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2007 |
PAC
4 - 2
HOD
74%
16%
10%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
VER
0 - 5
PAC
32%
26%
43%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
PAC
4 - 2
ATS
51%
25%
24%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |