Toluca vs Necaxa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
17.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2021 |
CHI
2 - 0
TOL
42%
27%
32%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
TOL
0 - 2
TIG
50%
24%
26%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
TOL
1 - 1
QRO
65%
20%
16%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
TOL
1 - 2
AUR
71%
17%
12%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2021 |
MON
2 - 0
TOL
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
NEC
0 - 1
PUE
40%
27%
33%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2021 |
TIG
0 - 0
NEC
66%
21%
14%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
NEC
3 - 0
TIJ
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
PAC
1 - 0
NEC
59%
23%
18%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
NEC
0 - 3
ATS
39%
28%
33%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |