Toluca vs Necaxa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
7.2%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
TIG
0 - 1
TOL
49%
26%
25%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
TOL
0 - 0
TIG
52%
25%
23%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
AME
3 - 1
TOL
47%
26%
27%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
TOL
2 - 0
TIJ
55%
24%
22%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
LEO
1 - 1
TOL
49%
25%
26%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
ATL
0 - 1
NEC
55%
23%
21%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
NEC
0 - 2
DOR
33%
26%
41%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
DOR
1 - 1
NEC
59%
22%
19%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2015 |
DOR
2 - 1
NEC
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2015 |
NEC
1 - 2
DOR
35%
28%
37%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -2 |