Toluca vs Necaxa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
24.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
MON
3 - 3
TOL
47%
26%
26%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
TOL
1 - 1
EST
47%
26%
28%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2009 |
CHI
1 - 2
TOL
48%
26%
26%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
TOL
1 - 0
IND
59%
23%
19%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
PUE
0 - 2
TOL
42%
28%
30%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
NEC
2 - 2
SAN
45%
25%
30%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
NEC
2 - 4
CAZ
45%
26%
29%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2009 |
MON
3 - 0
NEC
47%
25%
28%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
NEC
1 - 3
EST
45%
26%
29%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
CHI
1 - 1
NEC
47%
25%
28%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |