Toluca vs CA Morelia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
20.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2006 |
OLI
0 - 2
TOL
36%
26%
38%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
PAC
1 - 0
TOL
41%
27%
32%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
TOL
0 - 1
MON
51%
24%
26%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
CAZ
2 - 1
TOL
46%
25%
29%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2006 |
TOL
2 - 1
VER
76%
16%
9%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
MOR
3 - 1
EST
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
ATS
1 - 1
MOR
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
AME
3 - 0
MOR
58%
22%
20%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2006 |
MOR
1 - 1
PAC
44%
24%
32%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
MON
1 - 0
MOR
53%
24%
24%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |