Toluca vs CA Morelia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
22%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2001 |
ATL
2 - 2
TOL
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2001 |
TOL
6 - 2
SAN
51%
23%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2001 |
EST
0 - 1
TOL
37%
26%
37%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
TOL
1 - 1
CHI
50%
23%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2001 |
TOR
0 - 1
TOL
26%
26%
49%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2001 |
MOR
0 - 1
NEC
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
LEO
1 - 1
MOR
37%
25%
38%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
MOR
1 - 1
PUM
54%
22%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2001 |
CAZ
2 - 2
MOR
71%
16%
12%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2001 |
MOR
2 - 2
REB
82%
13%
5%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |