Toluca vs Monterrey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
36.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
LEO
2 - 1
TOL
61%
21%
19%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
TOL
4 - 4
PUE
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
TOL
0 - 2
PAC
46%
24%
30%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
AUR
0 - 0
TOL
30%
26%
44%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
TIG
0 - 1
TOL
58%
22%
20%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
DEP
0 - 3
MON
14%
22%
64%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
MON
2 - 0
AUR
70%
19%
11%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
AME
0 - 2
MON
47%
25%
29%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
CAZ
1 - 0
MON
44%
25%
31%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2021 |
MON
1 - 1
LEO
45%
24%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |