Liga MX Finals - Apertura Semi-finals
Global 1-3
Toluca vs Monterrey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
24.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2009 |
MON
2 - 0
TOL
50%
25%
25%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
TOL
1 - 0
SNL
56%
24%
20%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
SNL
1 - 0
TOL
40%
27%
33%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
PUE
0 - 2
TOL
45%
26%
29%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
TOL
3 - 0
PAC
43%
26%
31%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2009 |
MON
2 - 0
TOL
50%
25%
25%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
AME
1 - 1
MON
50%
25%
25%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
MON
1 - 0
AME
54%
24%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
MON
1 - 1
MOR
52%
24%
24%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
AME
1 - 0
MON
50%
25%
25%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |