Toluca vs Monterrey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
26.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
PUM
0 - 0
TOL
46%
26%
28%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
TOL
1 - 1
JAG
58%
24%
19%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
CHI
3 - 1
TOL
43%
27%
31%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
TOL
1 - 1
MON
50%
26%
24%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2009 |
MON
2 - 0
TOL
50%
25%
25%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
MON
2 - 0
CAZ
49%
24%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
ATS
3 - 0
MON
36%
28%
37%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
MON
4 - 0
IND
67%
19%
14%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2009 |
CAZ
1 - 2
MON
56%
23%
20%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2009 |
MON
4 - 3
CAZ
47%
25%
28%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |