Liga MX Finals - Apertura Semi-finals
Global 2-1
Toluca vs Monterrey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
24.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2006 |
MON
0 - 0
TOL
53%
25%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2006 |
TOL
0 - 2
COL
59%
22%
20%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
TOL
2 - 0
QRO
68%
20%
13%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2006 |
COL
2 - 1
TOL
48%
24%
28%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2006 |
QRO
1 - 0
TOL
32%
27%
40%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2006 |
MON
0 - 0
TOL
53%
25%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
MON
2 - 1
TOL
46%
26%
27%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
JAG
1 - 1
MON
45%
25%
30%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
MON
3 - 0
VER
60%
22%
18%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
ATS
2 - 1
MON
39%
26%
35%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |