Toluca vs Monterrey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.3%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
18.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
JAG
1 - 3
TOL
31%
25%
44%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
TOL
1 - 0
PUE
77%
15%
8%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2004 |
SAN
0 - 1
TOL
45%
25%
30%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
TOL
0 - 1
AME
60%
21%
19%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
DOR
0 - 1
TOL
27%
27%
46%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
MON
4 - 1
PAC
43%
25%
32%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
ATL
7 - 1
MON
52%
23%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2004 |
MON
1 - 1
PUM
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
CHI
1 - 0
MON
49%
24%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
MON
2 - 1
MOR
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |