Toluca vs Monterrey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.6%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
17.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
EST
1 - 2
TOL
30%
24%
46%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
TOL
2 - 3
VER
77%
15%
8%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
CAZ
3 - 1
TOL
37%
26%
37%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
TOL
2 - 2
PUM
57%
22%
21%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
PUE
1 - 2
TOL
27%
25%
48%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2004 |
LDA
1 - 0
MON
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
MON
3 - 3
TIG
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
QRO
4 - 4
MON
28%
26%
46%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
MON
1 - 1
MOR
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2004 |
MON
4 - 1
FAS
63%
22%
15%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | +1 |