Toluca vs Lobos BUAP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.7%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
7.9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
TOL
2 - 1
CHI
56%
25%
20%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
TOL
2 - 1
SNL
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
QRO
2 - 2
TOL
34%
27%
39%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
TOL
0 - 3
CAZ
46%
26%
29%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
PUE
2 - 1
TOL
40%
27%
32%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lobos BUAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
NEC
3 - 1
LOB
57%
25%
18%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
LEO
4 - 0
LOB
71%
18%
11%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
LOB
3 - 3
LEO
29%
26%
46%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
NEC
1 - 0
LOB
55%
26%
20%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
LOB
3 - 0
NEC
35%
29%
36%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |