Toluca vs Irapuato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.2%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
11%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
TOL
1 - 0
PAC
48%
25%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
PUM
1 - 2
TOL
44%
27%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2012 |
IRA
0 - 1
TOL
31%
26%
43%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
TOL
2 - 1
LEO
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
LOB
2 - 2
TOL
27%
26%
48%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Irapuato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
NEC
6 - 4
IRA
49%
27%
24%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
IRA
1 - 1
TOR
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2012 |
IRA
0 - 1
TOL
31%
26%
43%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
MER
1 - 1
IRA
28%
28%
44%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2012 |
PUE
0 - 2
IRA
63%
21%
16%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |