Toluca vs CS Herediano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.9%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
10.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
NEC
3 - 3
TOL
22%
25%
53%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
CSH
1 - 2
TOL
31%
25%
45%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
TOL
4 - 1
LEO
55%
23%
23%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
CHI
3 - 2
TOL
37%
26%
37%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
PUE
1 - 1
TOL
32%
25%
44%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
CS Herediano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
CSC
1 - 3
CSH
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
CSH
1 - 2
TOL
31%
25%
45%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
GRE
0 - 1
CSH
20%
26%
54%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
CSH
2 - 1
SAP
42%
27%
32%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CSH
0 - 1
SAN
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |