Toluca vs FC Juárez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
19.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2020 |
QRO
4 - 1
TOL
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
PUE
4 - 1
TOL
36%
27%
37%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2020 |
TOL
1 - 0
CHI
57%
23%
21%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2020 |
TOL
3 - 2
TIG
35%
26%
39%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2020 |
ATS
1 - 2
TOL
32%
27%
41%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
FC Juárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
JUA
1 - 1
SAN
26%
25%
49%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2020 |
MON
2 - 1
JUA
76%
16%
8%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
JUA
0 - 0
LEO
20%
24%
56%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2020 |
CAZ
3 - 2
JUA
71%
18%
10%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2020 |
JUA
0 - 2
CHI
44%
27%
29%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |