Toluca vs FC Juárez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.8%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
10%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
PUE
2 - 1
TOL
31%
27%
42%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
TOL
2 - 0
MOR
61%
22%
18%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
CAZ
2 - 2
TOL
37%
28%
35%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2018 |
TOL
1 - 1
SAN
52%
23%
25%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 1
TOL
49%
25%
27%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
FC Juárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
UDG
1 - 2
JUA
39%
28%
33%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2018 |
JUA
0 - 0
TIJ
26%
26%
48%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
JUA
1 - 0
ALE
42%
27%
31%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
JUA
0 - 1
CAÑ
40%
27%
32%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
CAF
1 - 0
JUA
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |