Toluca vs Atlas FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
14.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2020 |
TOL
3 - 4
TIJ
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
QRO
1 - 1
TOL
37%
26%
37%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
TIJ
3 - 0
TOL
39%
27%
34%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
TOL
2 - 0
MON
37%
25%
39%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
PUE
2 - 0
TOL
32%
26%
43%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Atlas FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
ATS
1 - 2
CHI
34%
29%
38%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2020 |
SAN
1 - 0
ATS
72%
17%
11%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
ATS
0 - 2
PAC
24%
24%
52%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
AME
2 - 0
ATS
74%
17%
9%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2020 |
ATS
1 - 3
MOR
31%
26%
43%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |