Toluca vs Atlas FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
20.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
TOL
1 - 1
PUM
53%
26%
22%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2007 |
PUM
2 - 0
TOL
47%
27%
26%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
TOL
2 - 0
MOR
53%
24%
22%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
EST
2 - 3
TOL
44%
26%
30%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2007 |
TOL
0 - 0
PUM
55%
25%
21%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Atlas FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
CAZ
2 - 0
ATS
60%
21%
19%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
ATS
1 - 1
SNL
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2007 |
TIG
3 - 2
ATS
45%
25%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
ATS
2 - 5
SAN
38%
25%
37%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
NEC
2 - 4
ATS
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |