Toluca vs Atlas FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
16.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
AME
2 - 1
TOL
44%
26%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
TOL
2 - 0
MON
63%
20%
17%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
EST
1 - 2
TOL
30%
24%
46%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
TOL
2 - 3
VER
77%
15%
8%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
CAZ
3 - 1
TOL
37%
26%
37%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Atlas FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
ATS
2 - 2
TIG
40%
25%
35%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
QRO
1 - 0
ATS
29%
25%
46%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
ATS
1 - 1
MOR
44%
25%
30%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
PAC
1 - 1
ATS
48%
25%
28%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
ATS
0 - 0
JAG
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |